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Can Jamie Vardy win the Golden Boot

Friday Dec 20, 2019


 He’s the man that holds the record for goals scored in consecutive Premier League matches.


  

 He’s also the man that fired Leicester to an unlikely Premier League title back in 2016. But interestingly, despite his consistent form in front of goal, Jamie Vardy has never won the golden boot in a Premier League season.

 The odds on Leicester to win the Premier League are considerably less than they were in 2016, but that doesn't mean this will be an easier title race. Even so, each and every week Vardy features heavily in football tips and the man himself just keeps delivering.

 The 32-year-old (he’s 33 in January) former Fleetwood striker now leads the Premier League scoring charts with an incredible 16 goals in 17 games. Combine that with his assists and he’s involved in more than a goal per game. That in itself is pretty astounding, but what about that golden boot?

 The stats

  

 
 Of all the shots he takes, an incredible 68% are on target. Only Teemu Pukki and Bernardo Silva have better stats. While Pukki may have had a case for claiming the golden boot early on in the season, his form and that of his Norwich teammates has fallen off a cliff. And we can all agree that Silva, no matter how good he is, won’t be winning any golden boots.

 Vardy currently scores a goal for every 96 minutes he plays. The only player who can better that is Sergio Aguero who finds the net once every 90 minutes. If Vardy keeps scoring at that rate, he stands to beat his own tally of 24 league goals in the title-winning season of 2015-16. Incidentally, that was the same number of goals scored by Sergio Aguero that season and only one behind golden boot winner Harry Kane.

 The competition

 So aside from every central defender he will face in the remaining games of the season, who else stands in the way of Vardy and that elusive golden boot?

 Harry Kane is the first name that will spring to the mind of any football fan, but the fact is that Kane has been a little less productive this season. Of course the horrendous run of form that saw Pochettino lose his job played a big part in his lower than usual stats. The entire Spurs squad has enjoyed a new lease of life under Mourinho and it wouldn’t be all that surprising to see Kane catch up with Vardy over the coming months. Currently though, he sits on 9 goals for the season.

 Aguero, Salah, and Mane also sit on 9 goals apiece. Aguero is out injured and it will no doubt take him some time to rediscover his form once he is eased back into the team. Salah and Mane are another story. Although 7 goals behind as it stands in the charts, we wouldn’t back against them. While Mane has been on fire this season, Salah has had something of a stop start campaign in front of goal. He may just kick on in January.

 Marcus Rashford is on 10 goals for the campaign but United are the epitome of inconsistency. There’s no doubt that Rashford is quality but we can’t imagine that he’ll overtake Vardy in the race for the golden boot.

 The two players closest to Vardy are Tammy Abraham and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang who both have 11 goals so far. Although both are enjoying good seasons in front of goal, both Chelsea and Arsenal have their fair share of problems. With Chelsea’s dip in form, Abraham has lost that killer touch he had at the start of the season but we expect him to bounce back over the festive period. Aubameyang has been great despite Arsenal’s woes and, truth be told, it looks like he’s putting himself in the shop window each and every week. He could easily top the charts playing for a poor team, but he could be off to La Liga in January.

 Can he do it?

 In a word, yes. Vardy has been phenomenal since Brendan Rodgers took over at Leicester and, barring injury or a suspension, we can’t see him easing the foot off the gas any time soon. You heard it here first — Jamie Vardy, 2020 Golden Boot Winner.
  

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