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Blue Square Bet Premier live play-off Semi-Final 2nd Leg bet

Monday May 9, 2011

Blue Square Bet Premier live play-off Semi-Final 2nd Leg betting previews by Alan Alger from Blue Square

Blue Square Bet Premier live play-off Semi-Final 2nd Leg betting previews by Alan Alger from Blue Square

 

Tuesday 10th May 7.45pm - LUTON TOWN (3) v (0) WREXHAM - live on Premier Sports

Wednesday 11th May 7.45pm - AFC WIMBLEDON (2) v (0) FLEETWOOD TOWN - live on Premier Sports

Luton Town and AFC Wimbledon are as short as 1/16 to be the Blue Square Bet Premier play-off finalists at the City of Manchester Stadium on May 21st. Both Southern sides hold advantages from the first legs and now just have to negotiate 90 minutes at their home grounds to see out a semi-final success. Luton's victory at Wrexham on Thursday saw them playing some fantastic football as the hosts struggled to cope with their fluid movement. All three goals were well taken and not even the most diehard Red Dragons fan could deny that they were worthy winners. Dean Saunders was rightly dejected in his post match interview on Premier Sports and they are left needing a 100/1 miracle to be playing in League 2 next season. Stranger things have happened in football - after all Newcastle recently made up a four goal deficit in just over 30 minutes against Arsenal. Luton are the 8/11 favourites to complete the double at Kenilworth Road, the draw is 12/5 and Wrexham are 10/3 to win in 90 minutes - whether the actual result puts them through or not. What is most important for Saunders' side is that they do not concede early in the game and build up their play patiently against what is usually a solid home defence. They are not likely to get much more than five or six chances in the 90 minutes so their strikers will have to be on top form. They won't be able to afford the kind of mistakes they made in defence in midweek either.

 

Fleetwood Town also made a similar error at the back to let AFC Wimbledon open the scoring on the following night. Wombles forward Luke Moore is adept at creating chances for himself as he reads the game so well - and it's not the first time in the last few seasons that the live TV cameras have witnessed his cool finishing. Both first legs were rough encounters and at times the Fleetwood v Wimbledon game threatened to turn ugly. With sending-offs a regular feature of live matches it was good to get through two games without a dismissal and unfortunately I think the second legs might redress that balance. There have been nearly two red cards for every three live games since our sponsorship began so odds of 5/2 for a red in either game this week will represent great value - especially with so much at stake. Cod Army boss Micky Mellon rightly points out that the next goal in their tie will be vitally important. His team will have to breach an AFC Wimbledon defence that has only been broken three times in the last 800 minutes of football - and with Jamie Stuart and Brett Johnson immense at the back at Highbury. Terry Brown's team are the 5/6 favourites to win the second leg, the draw is 12/5 and Fleetwood Town are 14/5.

 

ALAN'S BEST SEMI-FINAL SECOND LEG BETS  

RED CARD - Luton Town v Wrexham

RED CARD - AFC Wimbledon v Fleetwood Town

 

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